The May-June election is well under way, and with only two Governor candidates left, it’s now a head to head battle to the finish line. There is also a clear polarisation between the two candidates when it came to respondents’ choices on State Representative candidates.
Shout News can reveal that the leading candidate for Governor is Ella Bright-Starr leading with 60% of respondents primary vote against Liam Cavanagh’s 40% This is a substantial lead, but one that can quickly change in under a week.
Ella Bright-Starr voters were more likely to come from an apolitical background, with ~50% saying they didn’t vote in the last general election. 25% said they had voted for Damien Key and 25% said they had voted for Becks Lawson.
These voters were more likely to be business owners, and those in the creative and entertainment fields.
Worryingly, 23% of respondents were unsure if they were going to vote this way on election day. 30% of Ella supporters were happy with their candidates policies. 39% were unsure.
Liam Cavanagh voters were more likely to have come from a politically engaged background, and previously voted for Damien Key with nearly half saying they had voted for the current Governor.
These voters were more likely to be police officers, lawyers or other types of government employees.
Almost all respondents who put Cavanagh first said they were certain in their choices but only 18% were 'happy' with Cavanagh's policies.
Robert Muratori leads the pack when it comes to first preferences with nearly half of all respondents picking this candidate first, followed by Emilie and Astra Lillegård-Marino.
Jack Burton and Cassie Kendrick are the final-two top-five favourites.
Cassie Kendick and Tommy Merlin don't have the strong first-preference support to get them elected in the first round, however they might have the preference flows to get them across the line.
There was serious concern from respondents about the lack of policies being announced by the legislative candidates.
A majority of respondents were concerned with the fact they don't know what the candidates would do if they were elected, and as a result they were putting them last.
Multiple participants brought up the fact that this race feels like a popularity contest, with the big names being well known and therefore more likely to be elected.
Overall this is shaping up to be a very complex election season, where voters remain concerned about effective representation from both the Governor candidates and Representative candidates.
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