The First polling in over a year has finally been completed, and since its an election season, should give some interesting insights into what our state wants for the future. We are in for a heated battle, with an attack ad and attack website floating around the state pointed at each governor candidate.
Election 2024
Incumbent Governor Damien Key leads in the initial polling with a strong 60% This is a significant positive against his first preferences during the 2023 Summer election, receiving 55.73% of first preferences against 3 other candidates.
Becks Lawson received 40% of the first preferences of those surveyed. She would need a swing of more than 10% in order to win the governorship.
We asked viewers about their previous votes from the Autumn election, and roughly 35%~ of Damien Key voters in the last election, said they are voting for Becks Lawson instead, with the remaining 60%~ staying with Damien Key.
While every House of Representative candidate has been automatically elected due to the states no-contest policy for 5 or less registered candidates, Joanna Poole and Artemis Blackthorne command a strong 30%+ respectively of the first preferences of those surveyed.
The following is an visualisation of the estimated preference based on the voters governor preference, and first representative preference. A Majority of Lawson and Key supporters, support Joanna Poole and Artemis Blackthorne. Almost no Lawson supporters put Lilith Stark as a first preference
Based on second preferences, A 1/3 of support flows to Emilie Paxton, then Lucas Evans
Regular Questions
Since this is the first, and final poll of the 8th congress, there is no measure for approval or performance over time. Any result here is only indicative of the time when the poll was taken, which was from the 28th to the 30th of December 2023.
Damien Keys approval is position below half, with 46.7% of respondents approving. 30% said they disapproved and 23.3% were undecided.
In context against other Governors, Key is ahead in approve for a polling sample just before election day. (Noting one was not conducted before Starr contested an election)
Damien Key’s governor performance score remains above neutral, with an average score of 5.8 out of 10.
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The legislatures satisfaction of performance remains slightly lower than the governors at 5.6 out of 10.
The remaining questions will be released at a later date.
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