{"id":1719,"date":"2024-05-22T21:08:38","date_gmt":"2024-05-23T01:08:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/?p=1719"},"modified":"2024-05-22T21:11:24","modified_gmt":"2024-05-23T01:11:24","slug":"promising-lead-and-likely-candidates-here-is-the-latest-polling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/2024\/05\/promising-lead-and-likely-candidates-here-is-the-latest-polling\/","title":{"rendered":"Promising lead and likely candidates, here is the latest polling"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The May-June election is well under way, and with only two Governor candidates left, it&#8217;s now a head to head battle to the finish line. There is also a clear polarisation between the two candidates when it came to respondents&#8217; choices on State Representative candidates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Shout News can reveal that the leading candidate for Governor is Ella Bright-Starr leading with 60% of respondents primary vote against Liam Cavanagh&#8217;s 40% This is a substantial lead, but one that can quickly change in under a week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-1 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>Ella Bright-Starr voters were more likely to come from an apolitical background, with ~50% saying they didn&#8217;t vote in the last general election. 25% said they had voted for Damien Key and 25% said they had voted for Becks Lawson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These voters were more likely to be business owners, and those in the creative and entertainment fields.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Worryingly, 23% of respondents were unsure if they were going to vote this way on election day. 30% of Ella supporters were happy with their candidates policies. 39% were unsure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Liam Cavanagh voters were more likely to have come from a politically engaged background, and previously voted for Damien Key with nearly half saying they had voted for the current Governor. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<iframe title=\"First Preference: Governor\" aria-label=\"Election Donut\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-0N2K2\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/0N2K2\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"380\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r=0;r<e.length;r++)if(e[r].contentWindow===a.source){var i=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";e[r].style.height=i}}}))}();\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>These voters were more likely to be police officers, lawyers or other types of government employees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Almost all respondents who put Cavanagh first said they were certain in their choices but only 18% were 'happy' with Cavanagh's policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-2 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33%\">\n<p>Robert Muratori leads the pack when it comes to first preferences with nearly half of all respondents picking this candidate first, followed by Emilie and Astra Lilleg\u00e5rd-Marino. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jack Burton and Cassie Kendrick are the final-two top-five favourites. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cassie Kendick and Tommy Merlin don't have the strong first-preference support to get them elected in the first round, however they might have the preference flows to get them across the line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There was serious concern from respondents about the lack of policies being announced by the legislative candidates.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66%\">\n<iframe title=\"First Preference: Representative\" aria-label=\"Donut Chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-7chLA\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/7chLA\/1\/\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" height=\"442\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r=0;r<e.length;r++)if(e[r].contentWindow===a.source){var i=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";e[r].style.height=i}}}))}();\n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>A majority of respondents were concerned with the fact they don't know what the candidates would do if they were elected, and as a result they were putting them last. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Multiple participants  brought up the fact that this race feels like a popularity contest, with the big names being well known and therefore more likely to be elected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall this is shaping up to be a very complex election season, where voters remain concerned about effective representation from both the Governor candidates and Representative candidates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The May-June election is well under way, and with only two Governor candidates left, it&#8217;s now a head to head battle to the finish line. There is also a clear polarisation between the two candidates when it came to respondents&#8217; choices on State Representative candidates. Shout News can reveal that the leading candidate for Governor [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1637,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"video-post","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,6],"tags":[21],"ppma_author":[32],"class_list":["post-1719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-politics","tag-politipoll"],"author_meta":{"display_name":"Harry Kennedy","author_link":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/author\/harrykennedy\/"},"featured_img":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/junegeneral-300x169.jpg","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/junegeneral.jpg","coauthors":[{"link":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/author\/harrykennedy\/","display_name":"Harry Kennedy"}],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/category\/news\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/category\/news\/politics\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Politics<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Politics<\/span>"]},"tags":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/category\/news\/politics\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Politipoll<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Politipoll<\/span>"]}},"comment_count":"5","relative_dates":{"created":"Posted 2 years ago","modified":"Updated 2 years ago"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Posted on 22 May 2024","modified":"Updated on 22 May 2024"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Posted on 22 May 2024 9:08 PM","modified":"Updated on 22 May 2024 9:11 PM"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"authors":[{"term_id":32,"user_id":3,"is_guest":0,"slug":"harrykennedy","display_name":"Harry Kennedy","avatar_url":{"url":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/d8415839b73033c93ae8a2cdd99efbab.png","url2x":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/d8415839b73033c93ae8a2cdd99efbab.png"},"1":"","2":"","3":"","4":"","5":"","6":"","7":"","8":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1719","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1719"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1719\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1769,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1719\/revisions\/1769"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1637"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1719"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1719"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shout.newdayrp.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=1719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}